روسيا ت intensifies هجماتها حول دوبروبليا وكوستانتينيفكا

لماذا يهمّ ذلك

The concentration of attacks makes the Dobropillia and Kostiantynivka sectors a priority front. A local ceasefire could allow Russia to accumulate forces and move heavy equipment closer to the front without exposing it to Ukrainian drone strikes. The fighting for these towns affects Russia's ability to advance toward Kramatorsk and Sloviansk and reflects the broader contest for control of Ukraine's fortified belt.

ماذا حدث

According to the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Russian forces carried out 47 attacks on the Dobropillia, or Pokrovsk, direction on 13 and 14 November, the highest number of assaults in that sector since 1 November. Eleven attacks were recorded on the Kostiantynivka direction on the same days. ISW calculated that the two directions accounted for 80% of all Russian offensive actions against Ukraine's fortified belt since the beginning of October 2026.

On 13 November, Russian forces launched a mechanized assault toward Khрузьке, north-east of Dobropillia, reportedly involving three tanks, three infantry fighting vehicles and more than ten light transport vehicles. Ukrainian and OSINT sources also reported an advance toward Грузьке and the beginning of the movement of heavy equipment directly toward Dobropillia.

On 14 November, a Ukrainian regimental commander said Ukrainian forces had destroyed seven pieces of equipment and three all-terrain vehicles and wounded or killed 30 Russian personnel during a mechanized assault. Geolocated footage from 11 November recorded a mechanized attack toward Druzhkivka; several Russian infantry fighting vehicles were hit near Nova Poltavka, about 10 km from the Russian rear area south-west of Kostiantynivka.

ISW assessed that the concentration of offensive activity indicates that this sector is a priority for the Russian military command. It also estimated that a proposed local ceasefire in and around Kostiantynivka could help Russia reinforce the southern flank of the fortified belt, accumulate forces and resources, and move heavy equipment closer to the front before renewing attempts to capture Kostiantynivka and Dobropillia.

كيف تصفه المصادر الأوكرانية

Ukrainian coverage focuses on the fighting in and around Kostiantynivka, the Kremlin's proposed humanitarian operation and ceasefire, and President Volodymyr Zelensky's warning that the initiative is intended to capture the city and open a route to Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. It also emphasizes Ukrainian military and OSINT reporting on mechanized attacks, the movement of heavy equipment toward Dobropillia, the scale of Russian attacks, and reported losses inflicted on the attacking forces.

كيف تصفه المصادر الدولية

ISW-based coverage emphasizes operational priorities, the concentration of Russian offensive activity, the vulnerability of Russian positions around Kostiantynivka and Dobropillia, and the possible military benefits of a ceasefire for Russia. It also notes that fog, strong winds and rain are being used to impede Ukrainian reconnaissance and strike drones. ISW reported that Russian forces lost more territory than they gained in October 2026, while retaining the initiative mainly near Dobropillia.

أين تختلف الروايات

Russian authorities claimed control of Kostiantynivka from July 2026 and the encirclement or capture of Dobropillia. The assessments and reporting cited in the synthesis said that Russian units had failed to secure positions in Kostiantynivka or capture either city.

الخلفية

Russian forces have maintained their highest pace of advance on the Pokrovsk direction since at least 1 August 2026. ISW reported that Russian forces lost battlefield positions for a second consecutive month in October 2026, taking or holding 139.85 square kilometres while losing 167.14 square kilometres. ISW assessed that Russia retained the initiative mainly near Dobropillia, while Ukrainian forces seized the initiative on the Kupiansk, Lyman and Oleksandrivka directions and continued contesting it in western Zaporizhzhia.