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البلغاريون يصوّتون في انتخابات رئاسية وسط خلاف حاد حول دعم أوكرانيا

أجرت بلغاريا انتخابات رئاسية-CRUX articulée le 25 octobre, avec 27 candidats, alors que la cheffe d'État par intérim Iliana Yotova et l'ancien Premier ministre Andrey Gyurov sont attendus au second tour du 1er novembre. La guerre en Ukraine, l'aide militaire, les sanctions et l'adhésion de l'Ukraine à l'Union européenne sont au cœur de la campagne, parallèlement aux pressions économiques et à la sécurité maritime en mer Noire.

أبرز النقاط

  • The presidential election featured 27 candidates, with the runoff scheduled for November 1.
  • Yotova led the October 23 Alpha Research poll with 41.1% among decided voters, versus 28.3% for Gyurov.
  • Analysts expected no candidate to win an absolute majority in the first round.
  • Yotova and Gyurov were the two leading candidates expected to advance to the runoff.
  • Yotova is supported by Radev's Progressive Bulgaria party; Gyurov is supported by pro-Western reformist opposition parties.
  • Yotova opposes military assistance to Ukraine and calls for ending the war diplomatically.
  • Drones attacked seven commercial vessels near the Bulgarian and Romanian coasts from October, killing more than 20 sailors.

لماذا يهمّ ذلك

The election will determine Bulgaria's head of state for a five-year term. Although the president lacks executive powers and major policies remain subject to parliamentary approval, the office includes authority over the armed forces, vetoes of legislation, international treaties and ambassadorial appointments. The vote is also a major test for Prime Minister Radev's Progressive Bulgaria party after it secured an absolute parliamentary majority in April. The contrasting positions of the leading candidates on military aid, diplomacy, sanctions and Ukraine's EU accession add substantial significance to the result.

ماذا حدث

Bulgarians voted on Sunday in a presidential election featuring 27 candidates. Acting president Iliana Yotova and former acting prime minister Andrey Gyurov were expected to advance to a runoff scheduled for November 1. An Alpha Research poll published on October 23 gave Yotova 41.1% and Gyurov 28.3% among voters certain to cast a ballot, while broader forecasts placed them at 41–47% and 28–31%, respectively. Far-right Revival party leader Costadin Kostadinov was projected to receive 10–13%, and turnout was forecast below 40%.

The campaign focused on Ukraine, maritime security and economic pressures. Yotova, supported by Radev's Progressive Bulgaria party, opposes military assistance to Ukraine and has called for ending the war diplomatically. Gyurov, backed by pro-Western reformist opposition parties, has repeatedly expressed firm support for Ukraine and signed a security-cooperation agreement with Kyiv during his premiership. Both leading candidates condemned the drone attacks on commercial vessels.

Domestic concerns also featured prominently. Bulgaria's harmonized inflation rate was 5.6% in September, compared with 3.8% in the euro area, while road-fuel prices rose 42.2% year on year. Candidates sought to address energy prices, inflation and the difficulty of maintaining living standards, especially in rural areas. Separately, the Bulgarian government asked partners to help strengthen maritime security after drones attacked seven commercial vessels near the Bulgarian and Romanian coasts from October.

كيف تصفه المصادر الأوكرانية

Ukrainian coverage emphasizes the sharp contrast between the leading candidates' approaches toward Ukraine. It highlights Gyurov's record of firm support for Kyiv and the security-cooperation agreement he signed as prime minister, alongside Radev's statement that Bulgaria had exhausted its own weapons stockpiles while remaining ready to repair equipment. The possible connection between the Black Sea attacks and Russian interests is also prominent, although persuasive evidence of Russian responsibility was not available.

كيف تصفه المصادر الدولية

International reporting presents the election as an early test for Progressive Bulgaria following its April parliamentary victory and focuses on the expected Yotova–Gyurov runoff. Alongside foreign-policy disputes over Ukraine, NATO and Bulgaria's European relationships, it gives prominence to inflation, fuel costs and rural living standards, as well as the security of commercial shipping in the Black Sea. It also notes the presidency's expanded political authority despite the limits on executive power and parliamentary approval of major policies.

أين تختلف الروايات

Sources differ on the number of sailors killed in the drone attacks, reporting either more than 20 deaths or an estimate of 24 sailors of different nationalities. Their accounts also differ slightly on Moscow's response: one says Moscow denied responsibility, while another reports that Radev said persuasive evidence of Russian responsibility was unavailable despite his view that the suspicion was logical.

الخلفية

Prime Minister Rumen Radev resigned in January to enter the parliamentary race, making Yotova acting president. His Progressive Bulgaria party then won an absolute parliamentary majority in April. Bulgaria's president is elected directly for a five-year term and may serve no more than two terms. The president does not possess executive powers, and major policies remain subject to parliamentary approval. The office nevertheless carries authority over the armed forces, objections to legislation, international treaties and ambassadorial appointments, making direct election politically significant.